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Most seismologists reject Freund's suggestion that stress-generated alerts can be detected and put to make use of as precursors, for numerous causes. First, it's believed that stress does not accumulate quickly earlier than a significant earthquake, and thus there is no purpose to expect large currents to be rapidly generated. Secondly, seismologists have extensively looked for statistically reliable electrical precursors, utilizing refined instrumentation, and haven't recognized any such precursors. And thirdly, water within the earth's crust would trigger any generated currents to be absorbed before reaching the floor. In his investigations of crystalline physics, Friedemann Freund discovered that water molecules embedded in rock can dissociate into ions if the rock is underneath intense stress.
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Despite the look here confident announcement four decades ago that seismology was "on the verge" of creating reliable predictions, there may but be an underestimation of the difficulties. Another study attributed important differences in fault habits to the maturity of the fault. These sorts of complexities aren't mirrored in current prediction methods.
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